> There's not really a credentialed source that can tell you what will be inherently speculative
There are absolutely quality sources that can walk through the uncertainties and the contexts. A secondary source based on The Daily Mail is not that. (Most ad-only sources won’t have the resources for that.)
It's raining outside and you're looking out the window asking for an expert to give you the context for how damp it is.
The FBI says, it's no more damp than it always is. A third party says, this is uncharacteristically damp.
A neutral credentialed source gives you uncertainty: we see dampness of varying rates throughout history and you should consider the climate you're in in order to understand how damp it really is.
Great. Now what do you do with that? Go outside and determine whether you need a coat.
No one will be able to tell you what this means without more evidence.
The fine article just says that the statement was "dated" the day before Epstein's death. Well, dated how? By a machine timestamp, or by a hand-entered date at the top of it?
The easiest way to have this happen is to have a human type the date, and have them make a mistake. (Ever put the wrong date on a check?) But there's not enough info in the article to know if that's a possibility here.
And there's plenty of reason to think it was something other than suicide. Two checks in a row got skipped, and two cameras malfunctioned, all in the same night? And someone mistyped the date on the statement? All just coincidence? That seems... improbable.
So, while I can see that there could be an innocent explanation, I'm not convinced that there is one.
The weirdest part is it says Epstein was "found unresponsive in his cell and pronounced dead shortly thereafter." That just doesn't seem like the words you'd use to describe a hanging suicide. (Would you really write that the dangling body was "found unresponsive...")
I think a fun thought experiment is, "If this is indeed a cover up and he's still alive, how would you find where is currently is?" If he's still dead, I think finding the truth might still be valuable for historical and closure purposes, but not as valuable as the "still alive" scenario.
I think "he was murdered by agents of the state before he could reveal anything damaging to the ruling class" is more likely than "he faked his own death and lives on an island somewhere".
It seems hard to square that with the fact of the files being released, or indeed of the FBI being able to obtain files in the first place. You'd have to suppose that "the ruling class" expected/expects to be able to tank vast hordes of deeply obsessed Internet randoms poring through all that data, but not be able to tank Epstein himself speaking publicly.
On the other hand, as far as I can recall, nothing significant happened after the Panama Papers, so.
Is this a credible source?
The file is on the department of justice website for you to see with your own eyes.
What exactly do you need?
The question is: is the date mismatch an accident or is it not.
> question is: is the date mismatch an accident or is it not
Literally what I need. Context. Whether errors like this are common in this format. If anyone has noted this before.
There's not really a credentialed source that can tell you what will be inherently speculative.
Either it was a clerical error or it wasn't. Sometimes that happens. Did it happen this time?
> There's not really a credentialed source that can tell you what will be inherently speculative
There are absolutely quality sources that can walk through the uncertainties and the contexts. A secondary source based on The Daily Mail is not that. (Most ad-only sources won’t have the resources for that.)
It's raining outside and you're looking out the window asking for an expert to give you the context for how damp it is.
The FBI says, it's no more damp than it always is. A third party says, this is uncharacteristically damp.
A neutral credentialed source gives you uncertainty: we see dampness of varying rates throughout history and you should consider the climate you're in in order to understand how damp it really is.
Great. Now what do you do with that? Go outside and determine whether you need a coat.
No one will be able to tell you what this means without more evidence.
Here's another one:
https://www.thedailybeast.com/epstein-files-reveal-prosecuto...
I believe they are all coming from the same post on Reddit
More news sources does not increase reputability. Most of them are social media bottom feeders and forgot how to do the basics of journalism
The fine article just says that the statement was "dated" the day before Epstein's death. Well, dated how? By a machine timestamp, or by a hand-entered date at the top of it?
The easiest way to have this happen is to have a human type the date, and have them make a mistake. (Ever put the wrong date on a check?) But there's not enough info in the article to know if that's a possibility here.
And there's plenty of reason to think it was something other than suicide. Two checks in a row got skipped, and two cameras malfunctioned, all in the same night? And someone mistyped the date on the statement? All just coincidence? That seems... improbable.
So, while I can see that there could be an innocent explanation, I'm not convinced that there is one.
The weirdest part is it says Epstein was "found unresponsive in his cell and pronounced dead shortly thereafter." That just doesn't seem like the words you'd use to describe a hanging suicide. (Would you really write that the dangling body was "found unresponsive...")
I think a fun thought experiment is, "If this is indeed a cover up and he's still alive, how would you find where is currently is?" If he's still dead, I think finding the truth might still be valuable for historical and closure purposes, but not as valuable as the "still alive" scenario.
I think "he was murdered by agents of the state before he could reveal anything damaging to the ruling class" is more likely than "he faked his own death and lives on an island somewhere".
It seems hard to square that with the fact of the files being released, or indeed of the FBI being able to obtain files in the first place. You'd have to suppose that "the ruling class" expected/expects to be able to tank vast hordes of deeply obsessed Internet randoms poring through all that data, but not be able to tank Epstein himself speaking publicly.
On the other hand, as far as I can recall, nothing significant happened after the Panama Papers, so.
Eh, dying was only going to make the whole mess higher profile.
If they wanted it to stay quiet, throw him in solitary and don’t allow any visitors until he dies of old age.
I don't think they're implying it's likely. Just that it's more likely than the other scenario.
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